Written by on . Last updated December 19th, 2024.

Around noon of Monday October 21st, 2024, a shallow and significant MAG-5.8 earthquake hit in the Maluku Sea 292 kilometer from Ambon, Indonesia. Around 490 thousand people have been exposed to shaking.

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Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the Maluku Sea, right off the coast of Indonesia (3 mi offshore), 292 kilometer north-northwest of Ambon in Maluku. The center of this earthquake had a very shallow depth of 16 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.

Date and Time: Oct 21, 2024 12:24 (Jayapura Time)
- Oct 21, 2024 03:24 Universal Time.
Location: 292 km NNW of Ambon, Maluku, Indonesia.
Coordinates 1°10'30"S 127°27'31"E.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.8
Detected by 32 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.055 .
Depth: 16 km (10 mi)
A very shallow depth.
Max. Intensity:
VII
Very Strong

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Low tsunami risk
Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 do not usually cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 490 thousand people exposed to shaking

This earthquake may have been felt by around 490 thousand people. That is the expected population size of the area exposed to a level of shaking of II or higher on the Modified Mercalli scale according to the USGS.

An estimated 4,450 people were exposed to level VI. At this level, strong shaking and probably light damage can be expected. The majority of people (roughly 270 thousand) live in an area exposed to level III, where weak shaking and probably no damage is expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of Indonesia .

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
0
I
Not noticable None
0
II
Very weak None
265,700
III
Weak Probably none
199,800
IV
Light Likely none
22,810
V
Moderate Very light
4,450
VI
Strong Light
0
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in Indonesia . Sofifi in North Maluku, Indonesia is the nearest significant place from the epicenter. The earthquake occurred 213 kilometer (132 mi) south of Sofifi.

A complete list of nearby places is included below.

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place
213 km (132 mi)
N from epicenter
Sofifi

North Maluku, Indonesia.
219 km (136 mi)
N from epicenter
Ternate

North Maluku, Indonesia.
290 km (180 mi)
SE from epicenter
Amahai

Maluku, Indonesia.
292 km (181 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Ambon

Maluku, Indonesia.
395 km (245 mi)
NW from epicenter
Tondano

North Sulawesi, Indonesia.
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The intensity in shaking and damage by this earthquake is illustrated through the map below. The highest intensity measured for this earthquake is VI.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

Shaking reported by 1 person

People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 1 person has reported shaking in one place in Indonesia.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.

Places with most reports:

  • Ternate, Maluku Utara, Indonesia: 1 person.

35 Aftershocks detected

After this earthquake struck, 35 smaller aftershocks occurred. At a distance of 10 km (6 mi) north-northwest of this earthquake, an aftershock struck 3 hrs later. It measured a magnitude of 5.7

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Classification Magnitude When Where
Main Shock
This Earthquake
M 5.8 Oct 21, 2024 12:24
(Jayapura Time)
-
Aftershock M 4.0 13 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 12:37 (Jayapura Time)
26 km (16 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.2 16 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 12:40 (Jayapura Time)
8 km (5 mi)
NE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.5 19 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 12:42 (Jayapura Time)
24 km (15 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.6 19 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 12:42 (Jayapura Time)
73 km (45 mi)
NNE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.8 29 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 12:53 (Jayapura Time)
27 km (17 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.8 46 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 13:10 (Jayapura Time)
14 km (9 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.3 47 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 13:11 (Jayapura Time)
13 km (8 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 5.1 48 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 13:12 (Jayapura Time)
10 km (6 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.5 54 mins later
Oct 21, 2024 13:17 (Jayapura Time)
13 km (8 mi)
NE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.4 1 hr later
Oct 21, 2024 13:37 (Jayapura Time)
34 km (21 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.1 1 hr later
Oct 21, 2024 13:42 (Jayapura Time)
36 km (22 mi)
WSW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.7 1 hr later
Oct 21, 2024 13:42 (Jayapura Time)
18 km (11 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 5.7 3 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 15:32 (Jayapura Time)
10 km (6 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.2 4 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 16:06 (Jayapura Time)
1.1 km (0.7 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.4 4 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 16:19 (Jayapura Time)
76 km (47 mi)
N from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.7 4 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 16:30 (Jayapura Time)
4 km (2.4 mi)
ENE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.7 4 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 16:48 (Jayapura Time)
24 km (15 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.2 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:02 (Jayapura Time)
40 km (25 mi)
NNE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.9 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:08 (Jayapura Time)
19 km (11 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:15 (Jayapura Time)
17 km (10 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 5.2 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:24 (Jayapura Time)
8 km (5 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 5.0 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:35 (Jayapura Time)
9 km (6 mi)
N from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 5 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 17:46 (Jayapura Time)
23 km (14 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.5 7 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 19:41 (Jayapura Time)
23 km (14 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 8 hrs later
Oct 21, 2024 20:18 (Jayapura Time)
16 km (10 mi)
NW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.7 12 hrs later
Oct 22, 2024 00:15 (Jayapura Time)
12 km (7 mi)
W from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.0 13 hrs later
Oct 22, 2024 01:47 (Jayapura Time)
43 km (27 mi)
NE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.5 16 hrs later
Oct 22, 2024 04:22 (Jayapura Time)
8 km (5 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.2 19 hrs later
Oct 22, 2024 07:33 (Jayapura Time)
34 km (21 mi)
WSW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.5 19 hrs later
Oct 22, 2024 07:33 (Jayapura Time)
18 km (11 mi)
N from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 1 day later
Oct 22, 2024 14:12 (Jayapura Time)
31 km (19 mi)
SW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.3 1 day later
Oct 22, 2024 18:30 (Jayapura Time)
33 km (20 mi)
N from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.6 1 day later
Oct 22, 2024 18:44 (Jayapura Time)
21 km (13 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.9 1 day later
Oct 22, 2024 21:48 (Jayapura Time)
16 km (10 mi)
NW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.5 2 days later
Oct 23, 2024 13:06 (Jayapura Time)
65 km (41 mi)
NNE from Main Shock.
Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.

More earthquakes coming?

Earthquakes can create aftershocks. These are generally at least 1 magnitude lower than any main shock, and as time passes the chance and strength of aftershocks decreases.

It's always adviced to be cautious of the risk of a larger shock following any significant earthquake, however this risk is fairly small. There is a roughly 94 percent change that no larger main shock will follow in the days following this earthquake.

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this happen often in the region

Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since September 11th, 2023, when a 6 magnitude earthquake hit 256 km (159 mi) further north. An even stronger magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck on July 14th, 2019.

In total, 17 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.8 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 7 months.

Low tsunami risk

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

Based on early data it appears this earthquake was not strong enough (lower than MAG-6.5) to be likely to cause destructive tsunami's. However this earthquake appeared to have hit at a shallow depth under sea, so stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea. Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.8. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 16 km (10 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 19/12/24 06:48 (). This article contains currently available information about the earthquake and is automatically composed. We continue to update this article up to a few days after the earthquake occurred.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us6000nzyn
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20241021_0000018
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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