Written by on . Last updated November 21st, 2024.

In the morning of Friday October 25th, 2024, a shallow and significant M5.8 earthquake hit in the North Pacific Ocean 99 kilometer from Tapachula, Mexico. Roughly 10 million people may have felt this earthquake. Guatemala and El Salvador are also near its epicenter.

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Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the North Pacific Ocean, 68 kilometers (42 mi) off the coast of Mexico, 99 kilometer south-southwest of Tapachula in Chiapas. The center of this earthquake had a very shallow depth of 17 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.

Date and Time: Oct 25, 2024 09:46 (Mexico City Time)
- Oct 25, 2024 14:46 Universal Time.
Location: 99 km SSW of Tapachula, Chiapas, Mexico.
Coordinates 14°5'47"N 92°39'17"W.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.8
Detected by 35 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.052 .
Depth: 17 km (11 mi)
A very shallow depth.
Max. Intensity:
V
Moderate

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Low tsunami risk
Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 do not usually cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 10 million people exposed to shaking

The USGS has published a report estimating the number of people exposed to this earthquake. Acoording to their analysis, roughly 10 million have been exposed to shaking at an MMI level of II or higher.

Light shaking and likely no damage may have been experienced by an estimated 1,375,000 people. At IV, it is the highest MMI level this earthquake has caused. Intensity level III was experienced by the majority of people (around 8 million). In their region, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected.

People in 2 countries have been exposed to shaking. Roughly 8 million people were exposed to shaking in Guatemala , with level IV (light shaking, likely no damage) as the highest recorded. In Mexico , around 1.3 million people.

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
0
I
Not noticable None
589,700
II
Very weak None
7,671,000
III
Weak Probably none
1,375,000
IV
Light Likely none
0
V
Moderate Very light
0
VI
Strong Light
0
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

3 countries can be found within 300km of the epicenter of this earthquake: Mexico , Guatemala and El Salvador .

Located 99 kilometer (62 mi) south-southwest of the epicenter of this earthquake, Tapachula (Chiapas, Mexico) is the nearest significant population center. The intensity of shaking and damage in Tapachula is estimated to be around level IV on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (light shaking, likely no damage).

Multiple large cities are in proximity of today's earthquake. Guatemala City is located 238 km to the east-northeast (intensity unknown, possibly low). Mixco is located 228 km to the east-northeast (intensity unknown, possibly low). Tapachula is located 99 km to the north-northeast and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage).

The table below provides an overview of all places in proximity of today's earthquake. Where available, the estimated intensity on the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale in each place is included. Places where this information is omitted likely experienced little impact.

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place Intensity (MMI)
99 km (62 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Tapachula

Chiapas, Mexico.
IV
Light
109 km (68 mi)
NE from epicenter
Coatepeque

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
113 km (70 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Cacahoatán

Chiapas, Mexico.
III
Weak
116 km (72 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Retalhuleu

Retalhuleu, Guatemala.
IV
Light
117 km (73 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Nuevo San Carlos

Retalhuleu, Guatemala.
III
Weak
118 km (73 mi)
N from epicenter
Huixtla

Chiapas, Mexico.
IV
Light
120 km (75 mi)
NE from epicenter
Colomba

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
131 km (81 mi)
ENE from epicenter
El Palmar

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
133 km (83 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Mazatenango

Suchitepeque, Guatemala.
III
Weak
134 km (83 mi)
NE from epicenter
San Marcos

San Marcos, Guatemala.
III
Weak
136 km (85 mi)
NE from epicenter
San Pedro Sacatepéquez

San Marcos, Guatemala.
III
Weak
141 km (88 mi)
ENE from epicenter
San Pablo Jocopilas

Suchitepeque, Guatemala.
III
Weak
141 km (88 mi)
NE from epicenter
Ostuncalco

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
141 km (88 mi)
E from epicenter
Tiquisate

Escuintla, Guatemala.
IV
Light
146 km (91 mi)
NE from epicenter
La Esperanza

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
147 km (91 mi)
NE from epicenter
Quetzaltenango

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
147 km (91 mi)
NE from epicenter
Comitancillo

San Marcos, Guatemala.
III
Weak
148 km (92 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Motozintla

Chiapas, Mexico.
III
Weak
151 km (94 mi)
N from epicenter
Mapastepec

Chiapas, Mexico.
III
Weak
151 km (94 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Chicacao

Suchitepeque, Guatemala.
III
Weak
152 km (94 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Cantel

Quetzaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
161 km (100 mi)
NE from epicenter
San Francisco El Alto

Totonicapán, Guatemala.
III
Weak
165 km (103 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Santiago Atitlán

Sololá, Guatemala.
III
Weak
166 km (103 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Nahualá

Sololá, Guatemala.
III
Weak
166 km (103 mi)
NE from epicenter
Totonicapán

Totonicapán, Guatemala.
III
Weak
171 km (106 mi)
NE from epicenter
Momostenango

Totonicapán, Guatemala.
III
Weak
173 km (107 mi)
E from epicenter
La Gomera

Escuintla, Guatemala.
III
Weak
175 km (109 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Sololá

Sololá, Guatemala.
III
Weak
178 km (111 mi)
E from epicenter
Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

Escuintla, Guatemala.
III
Weak
182 km (113 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Comalapa

Chiapas, Mexico.
III
Weak
186 km (116 mi)
NE from epicenter
Huehuetenango

Huehuetenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
188 km (117 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Patzún

Chimaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
191 km (119 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Chichicastenango

Quiché, Guatemala.
III
Weak
193 km (120 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Santa Cruz del Quiché

Quiché, Guatemala.
III
Weak
194 km (121 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Tecpán Guatemala

Chimaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
203 km (126 mi)
E from epicenter
Escuintla

Escuintla, Guatemala.
III
Weak
207 km (129 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Chimaltenango

Chimaltenango, Guatemala.
III
Weak
213 km (132 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Antigua Guatemala

Sacatepéquez, Guatemala.
222 km (138 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Amatitlán

Guatemala, Guatemala.
227 km (141 mi)
ENE from epicenter
San Juan Sacatepéquez

Guatemala, Guatemala.
228 km (142 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Mixco

Guatemala, Guatemala.
228 km (142 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Villa Nueva

Guatemala, Guatemala.
230 km (143 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Petapa

Guatemala, Guatemala.
232 km (144 mi)
E from epicenter
Villa Canales

Guatemala, Guatemala.
238 km (148 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Guatemala City

Guatemala, Guatemala.
238 km (148 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Santa Catarina Pinula

Guatemala, Guatemala.
242 km (150 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Chinautla

Guatemala, Guatemala.
246 km (153 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Comitán

Chiapas, Mexico.
248 km (154 mi)
E from epicenter
Barberena

Santa Rosa, Guatemala.
275 km (171 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Sanarate

El Progreso, Guatemala.
275 km (171 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Salamá

Baja Verapaz, Guatemala.
289 km (180 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Cobán

Alta Verapaz, Guatemala.
293 km (182 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Jalapa

Jalapa, Guatemala.
293 km (182 mi)
N from epicenter
San Cristóbal de las Casas

Chiapas, Mexico.
298 km (185 mi)
E from epicenter
Jutiapa

Jutiapa, Guatemala.
300 km (186 mi)
N from epicenter
Tuxtla

Chiapas, Mexico.
304 km (189 mi)
E from epicenter
Ahuachapán

Ahuachapán, El Salvador.
319 km (198 mi)
E from epicenter
Sonsonate

Sonsonate, El Salvador.
334 km (208 mi)
E from epicenter
Santa Ana

Santa Ana, El Salvador.
344 km (214 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Chiquimula

Chiquimula, Guatemala.
350 km (217 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Zacapa

Zacapa, Guatemala.
357 km (222 mi)
NW from epicenter
Salina Cruz

Oaxaca, Mexico.
367 km (228 mi)
E from epicenter
Santa Tecla

La Libertad, El Salvador.
377 km (234 mi)
E from epicenter
San Salvador

San Salvador, El Salvador.
382 km (237 mi)
E from epicenter
Soyapango

San Salvador, El Salvador.
391 km (243 mi)
ENE from epicenter
El Estor

Izabal, Guatemala.
398 km (247 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Tenosique

Tabasco, Mexico.
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The intensity in shaking and damage by this earthquake is illustrated through the map below. The highest intensity measured for this earthquake is IV.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

Shaking reported by 6 people in 2 countries

People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 6 people have reported shaking in 5 places in 2 countries (Guatemala, Mexico).We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.

Places with most reports:

  • Olintepeque, Quezaltenango, Guatemala: 2 people.
  • Guatemala, Guatemala, Guatemala: 1 person.
  • Santa Catarina Pinula, Guatemala, Guatemala: 1 person.
  • Conguaco, Jutiapa, Guatemala: 1 person.
  • Tlalnepantla, México, Mexico: 1 person.

7 Aftershocks detected

After this earthquake struck, 7 smaller aftershocks occurred. At a distance of 66 km (41 mi) north-northwest of this earthquake, an aftershock struck 2 days later. It measured a magnitude of 4.4

In the days before this main shock, 1 smaller foreshock was detected. Nearby this earthquake a foreshock struck 12 hrs earlier. It measured a magnitude of 4.1

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Classification Magnitude When Where
Foreshock M 4.1 12 hrs earlier
Oct 24, 2024 21:19 (Mexico City Time)
36 km (22 mi)
N from Main Shock.
Main Shock
This Earthquake
M 5.8 Oct 25, 2024 09:46
(Mexico City Time)
-
Aftershock M 3.9 6 hrs later
Oct 25, 2024 15:51 (Mexico City Time)
46 km (29 mi)
SW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.9 16 hrs later
Oct 26, 2024 02:05 (Mexico City Time)
4 km (2.2 mi)
NNE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 3.6 2 days later
Oct 27, 2024 11:04 (Mexico City Time)
24 km (15 mi)
NE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.2 2 days later
Oct 27, 2024 15:16 (Mexico City Time)
48 km (30 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.4 2 days later
Oct 27, 2024 15:16 (Mexico City Time)
66 km (41 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.2 3 days later
Oct 27, 2024 23:28 (Mexico City Time)
66 km (41 mi)
SSE from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 3 days later
Oct 28, 2024 01:23 (Mexico City Time)
44 km (28 mi)
WNW from Main Shock.
Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.

More earthquakes coming?

The risk of aftershocks decreases rapidly over time. Usually, aftershocks are at least one order of magnitude lower than a main shock.

In only six percent of cases, significant earthquakes are followed by a larger main shock, making the current earthquake a foreshock. While the chance of this happening is not so large, it is adviced to maintain cautiousness in the hours and days following a major earthquake.

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this happen often in the region

Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since July 21st, 2024, when a 6.2 magnitude earthquake hit 300 km (186 mi) further east-northeast. An even stronger magnitude 8.2 earthquake struck on September 8th, 2017.

In total, 31 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.8 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 4 months.

Low tsunami risk

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

Based on early data it appears this earthquake was not strong enough (lower than MAG-6.5) to be likely to cause destructive tsunami's. However this earthquake appeared to have hit at a shallow depth under sea, so stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea. Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.8. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 17 km (11 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 21/11/24 01:28 (). As more information on this earthquake becomes available this article will be updated. This article is automatically composed based on data originating from multiple sources.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us7000nn6t
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20241025_0000178
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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