Significant M5.8 AFTERSHOCK hit in the South Pacific Ocean 180km from Nuku‘alofa (Tonga) on Monday Night.

Written by Earthquakelist.org on March 30th, 2025. Last updated April 3rd, 2025.

A significant Magnitude 5.8 aftershock struck in the South Pacific Ocean 180 kilometer from Nuku‘alofa, Tonga in the night of Monday March 31st, 2025. Roughly 100 thousand people may have felt this earthquake.

Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the South Pacific Ocean, 175 kilometers (109 mi) off the coast of Tonga, 180 kilometer east-northeast of Nuku‘alofa in Tongatapu. The center of this earthquake had a quite shallow depth of 35 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.

Date and Time:	Mar 31, 2025 04:33AM (Tongatapu Time) 4 days ago - Mar 30, 2025 15:33 Universal Time.
Location:	180 km ENE of Nuku‘alofa, Tongatapu, Tonga. Coordinates 20°18'20"S 173°42'55"W.
Map:	Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude:	MAG 5.8 Detected by 12 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.089 .
Depth:	35 km (22 mi) A quite shallow depth.
Max. Intensity:	IV Light On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk:	Low tsunami risk Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 do not usually cause tsunami's. Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 100 thousand people exposed to shaking

This earthquake may have been felt by around 100 thousand people. That is the expected population size of the area exposed to a level of shaking of II or higher on the Modified Mercalli scale according to the USGS.

An estimated 4,630 people were exposed to level IV. At this level, light shaking and likely no damage can be expected. Intensity level III was experienced by the majority of people (around 100 thousand). In their region, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of Tonga .

People	MMI Level	Shaking	Damage
0	I	Not noticable	None
0	II	Very weak	None
100,200	III	Weak	Probably none
4,630	IV	Light	Likely none
0	V	Moderate	Very light
0	VI	Strong	Light
0	VII	Very Strong	Moderate
0	VIII	Severe	Moderate to heavy
0	IX	Violent	Heavy
0	X	Extreme	Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in Tonga . Located 180 kilometer (112 mi) east-northeast of the epicenter of this earthquake, Nuku‘alofa (Tongatapu, Tonga) is the nearest significant population center. Nuku‘alofa experienced an earthquake intensity (MMI Scale) of roughly III. That level implies weak shaking and probably no damage.

Overview of nearby places

Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.
Distance	Place	Intensity (MMI)
180 km (112 mi) WSW from epicenter	Nuku‘alofa Tongatapu, Tonga.	III Weak

Earthquake Intensity Map

The graph below overlays a map of the region around the epicenter with earthquake intensity data provided by the US Geographic Survey. The highest intensity level detected for this earthquake is IV.

I Not felt

II Weak

III Weak

IV Light

V Moderate

VI Strong

VII Very Strong

VIII Severe

IX Violent

X Extreme

Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

This is likely an aftershock

This earthquake is likely an aftershock of the MAG-7 earthquake that struck 3 hrs earlier. That main earthquake hit 20 km (13 mi) west of the epicenter of this MAG-5.8 aftershock.

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.
Classification	Magnitude	When	Where
Main Shock	M 7.0	Mar 31, 2025 01:18AM (Tongatapu Time)	-
Aftershock	M 4.8	2 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 03:24AM (Tongatapu Time)	23 km (14 mi) E from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 4.8	3 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 03:58AM (Tongatapu Time)	42 km (26 mi) NNE from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 6.2	3 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 04:04AM (Tongatapu Time)	12 km (7 mi) SSE from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 4.9	3 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 04:26AM (Tongatapu Time)	20 km (13 mi) ENE from Main Shock.
Aftershock This Earthquake	M 5.8	3 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 04:33AM (Tongatapu Time)	20 km (13 mi) E from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 4.8	4 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 05:10AM (Tongatapu Time)	19 km (12 mi) ESE from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 4.8	7 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 08:30AM (Tongatapu Time)	28 km (17 mi) E from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 5.3	10 hrs later Mar 31, 2025 10:51AM (Tongatapu Time)	23 km (14 mi) WNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 4.9	1 day later Apr 1, 2025 02:20AM (Tongatapu Time)	20 km (12 mi) SE from Main Shock.
Aftershock	M 5.0	3 days later Apr 2, 2025 01:59PM (Tongatapu Time)	23 km (14 mi) E from Main Shock.

More earthquakes coming?

The risk of aftershocks decreases rapidly over time. Usually, aftershocks are at least one order of magnitude lower than a main shock.

It's always adviced to be cautious of the risk of a larger shock following any significant earthquake, however this risk is fairly small. There is a roughly 94 percent change that no larger main shock will follow in the days following this earthquake.

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this happen often in the region

Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. In total, 42 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.8 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 3 months.

Low tsunami risk

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

Based on early data it appears this earthquake was not strong enough (lower than MAG-6.5) to be likely to cause destructive tsunami's. However this earthquake appeared to have hit at a shallow depth under sea, so stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor	Under Sea?	MAG-6.5 or stronger?	Shallow depth?
Explanation	Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami.	Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami. MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes. MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.	Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake	This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea.	Not this earthquake. This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.8. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.	This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 35 km (22 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 03/04/25 14:58 (9 hours ago). This article contains currently available information about the earthquake and is automatically composed. We continue to update this article up to a few days after the earthquake occurred.