Written by on . Last updated March 3rd, 2025.

In the Philippine Sea 39 kilometer from Shingū, Japan, a significant MAG-5.8 earthquake occurred in the afternoon of Wednesday February 26th, 2025. Around 33 million people have been exposed to shaking.

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Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the Philippine Sea, 40 kilometers (25 mi) off the coast of Japan, 39 kilometer east-southeast of Shingū in Wakayama. The center of this earthquake had a deep depth of 395 km.

Date and Time: Feb 26, 2025 14:53 (Tokyo Time)
- Feb 26, 2025 05:53 Universal Time.
Location: 39 km ESE of Shingū, Wakayama, Japan.
Coordinates 33°35'46"N 136°22'6"E.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.8
Detected by 33 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.054 .
Depth: 395 km (245 mi)
A deep depth.
Max. Intensity:
III
Weak

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Tsunami very unlikely
Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 at depths deeper than 100km are very unlikely to cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 33 million people exposed to shaking

The USGS has published a report estimating the number of people exposed to this earthquake. Acoording to their analysis, roughly 33 million have been exposed to shaking at an MMI level of II or higher.

An estimated 4,173,000 people were exposed to level III. At this level, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected. Intensity level II was experienced by the majority of people (around 28 million). In their region, very weak shaking and no damage can be expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of Japan .

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
92,140
I
Not noticable None
28,360,000
II
Very weak None
4,173,000
III
Weak Probably none
0
IV
Light Likely none
0
V
Moderate Very light
0
VI
Strong Light
0
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in Japan . Shingū in Wakayama, Japan is the nearest significant place from the epicenter. The earthquake occurred 39 kilometer (24 mi) east-southeast of Shingū. The intensity of shaking and damage in Shingū is estimated to be around level II on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (very weak shaking, no damage).

Multiple major population centers exist within 300km of the earthquake that struck today. Tokyo is located 383 km to the north-east (intensity unknown, possibly low). Osaka is located 146 km to the northwest and experienced an intensity of II (very weak shaking, no damage). Nagoya is located 183 km to the north-northeast and experienced an intensity of II (very weak shaking, no damage).

A complete list of nearby places is included below. Estimated intensity data (MMI) sourced from a shake-map published by the US Geographic Survey is shown where available (cities without data probably experienced little impact).

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place Intensity (MMI)
39 km (24 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Shingū

Wakayama, Japan.
II
Weak
55 km (34 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Owase

Mie, Japan.
II
Weak
56 km (35 mi)
WSW from epicenter
Kushimoto

Wakayama, Japan.
II
Weak
94 km (58 mi)
W from epicenter
Tanabe

Wakayama, Japan.
II
Weak
95 km (59 mi)
W from epicenter
Shirahama

Wakayama, Japan.
II
Weak
103 km (64 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Ise

Mie, Japan.
II
Weak
115 km (71 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Kashihara-shi

Nara, Japan.
III
Weak
116 km (72 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Nabari

Mie, Japan.
II
Weak
123 km (76 mi)
NW from epicenter
Tondabayashichō

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
127 km (79 mi)
N from epicenter
Tsu

Mie, Japan.
II
Weak
131 km (81 mi)
NW from epicenter
Izumi

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
132 km (82 mi)
NW from epicenter
Matsubara

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
132 km (82 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Nara-shi

Nara, Japan.
III
Weak
132 km (82 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Minato

Wakayama, Japan.
II
Weak
132 km (82 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Wakayama

Wakayama, Japan.
III
Weak
134 km (83 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Yao

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
134 km (83 mi)
NW from epicenter
Kishiwada

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
136 km (85 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Ikoma

Nara, Japan.
II
Weak
138 km (86 mi)
NW from epicenter
Sakai

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
142 km (88 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Daitō

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
145 km (90 mi)
N from epicenter
Suzuka

Mie, Japan.
III
Weak
146 km (91 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Moriguchi

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
146 km (91 mi)
NW from epicenter
Osaka

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
147 km (91 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Neyagawa

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
147 km (91 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Kadoma

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
151 km (94 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Suita

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
151 km (94 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Hirakata

Ōsaka, Japan.
III
Weak
152 km (94 mi)
NW from epicenter
Amagasaki

Hyōgo, Japan.
III
Weak
153 km (95 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Uji

Kyoto, Japan.
II
Weak
154 km (96 mi)
N from epicenter
Yokkaichi

Mie, Japan.
II
Weak
154 km (96 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Ibaraki

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
155 km (96 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Takatsuki

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
156 km (97 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Toyonaka

Ōsaka, Japan.
II
Weak
157 km (98 mi)
NW from epicenter
Nishinomiya-hama

Hyōgo, Japan.
III
Weak
159 km (99 mi)
NW from epicenter
Itami

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
160 km (99 mi)
NE from epicenter
Toyohashi

Aichi, Japan.
III
Weak
162 km (101 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Kawanishi

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
163 km (101 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Ōtsu

Shiga, Japan.
II
Weak
163 km (101 mi)
NW from epicenter
Takarazuka

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
164 km (102 mi)
NW from epicenter
Kobe

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
165 km (103 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Anjō

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
167 km (104 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Okazaki

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
168 km (104 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Kyoto

Kyoto, Japan.
II
Weak
172 km (107 mi)
NW from epicenter
Akashi

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
174 km (108 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Tokushima

Tokushima, Japan.
II
Weak
176 km (109 mi)
NE from epicenter
Hamamatsu

Shizuoka, Japan.
II
Weak
180 km (112 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Toyota

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
183 km (114 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Nagoya

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
192 km (119 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Kasugai

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
193 km (120 mi)
NW from epicenter
Kakogawachō-honmachi

Hyōgo, Japan.
II
Weak
194 km (121 mi)
N from epicenter
Ichinomiya

Aichi, Japan.
II
Weak
206 km (128 mi)
N from epicenter
Gifu-shi

Gifu, Japan.
229 km (142 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Takamatsu

Kagawa, Japan.
252 km (157 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Iida

Nagano, Japan.
253 km (157 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Okayama

Okayama, Japan.
263 km (163 mi)
W from epicenter
Kochi

Kōchi, Japan.
275 km (171 mi)
N from epicenter
Fukui-shi

Fukui, Japan.
288 km (179 mi)
NW from epicenter
Tottori

Tottori, Japan.
294 km (183 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Fukuyama

Hirochima, Japan.
306 km (190 mi)
NE from epicenter
Kōfu

Yamanashi, Japan.
334 km (208 mi)
W from epicenter
Matsuyama

Ehime, Japan.
335 km (208 mi)
N from epicenter
Kanazawa

Ishikawa, Japan.
354 km (220 mi)
NNE from epicenter
Toyama

Toyama, Japan.
363 km (226 mi)
NE from epicenter
Yokohama

Kanagawa, Japan.
369 km (229 mi)
NW from epicenter
Matsue

Shimane, Japan.
382 km (237 mi)
ENE from epicenter
Kisarazu

Chiba, Japan.
383 km (238 mi)
NE from epicenter
Tokyo

Tokyo, Japan.
388 km (241 mi)
W from epicenter
Iwakuni

Yamaguchi, Japan.
395 km (245 mi)
NE from epicenter
Saitama

Saitama, Japan.
398 km (247 mi)
NE from epicenter
Maebashi

Gunma, Japan.
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The maximum intensity (MMI Scale) caused by this earthquake is III. The map below shows in which areas this earthquake was the most and least impactful. It is based on data from the US Geographic Survey.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

Shaking reported by 5 people

People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 5 people have reported shaking in 5 places, all within Japan.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.

Places with most reports:

  • Kamakura, Kanagawa, Japan: 1 person.
  • Yamato, Kanagawa, Japan: 1 person.
  • Saku, Nagano, Japan: 1 person.
  • Tokyo, Tokio, Japan: 1 person.
  • Shingu, Wakayama, Japan: 1 person.

Risk of aftershocks?

This earthquake did not have any significant foreshocks nor aftershocks occurring within 100km (62 mi) of its epicenter.

The risk of aftershocks decreases rapidly over time. Usually, aftershocks are at least one order of magnitude lower than a main shock.

The chance that a significant earthquake like this one is followed by an even larger earthquake is not so large. On average, scientists estimate a 94% chance that a major earthquake will not be followed by an even larger one. It is still adviced to be aware of this risk

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this are common in the region

Earthquakes of this strength occur quite regularly in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since May 14th, 2023, when a 5.8 magnitude earthquake hit 280 km (174 mi) further east. An even stronger magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck on July 27th, 2019.

In total, 5 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.8 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 2 years.

Tsunami very unlikely

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

For a serious tsunami to occur, earthquakes usually need to have a magnitude of at least 6.5 and occur at a shallow depth of maximum 100km. Neither are the case with this earthquake. However always stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea. Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.8. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
Not this earthquake.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of 395 km (245 mi). Earthquakes this deep in the earth are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 03/03/25 05:48 (). This article is automatically generated based on available data. We keep checking multiple sources for additional information. This article gets updated as new details on this earthquake become available.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us6000pvj5
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20250226_0000089
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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