Written by on . Last updated January 24th, 2025.

In the morning of Thursday January 23rd, 2025, a shallow and significant M5.7 earthquake hit under land 51 kilometer from Surigao in The Philippines. Around 17 million people have been exposed to shaking.

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Earthquake Summary

The earthquake struck on land in The Philippines, 51 kilometer (32 mi) northwest of Surigao in Caraga. The center of this earthquake had a very shallow depth of 9 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.

Date and Time: Jan 23, 2025 07:39AM (Manila Time)
- Jan 22, 2025 23:39 Universal Time.
Location: 51 km NW of Surigao, Caraga, The Philippines.
Coordinates 10°7'52"N 125°10'49"E.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.7
Detected by 43 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.047 .
Depth: 9 km (6 mi)
A very shallow depth.
Max. Intensity:
VII
Very Strong

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Tsunami very unlikely
While this was a shallow earthquake in a coastal area, it appears to have occurred under land (1 km from the sea) with a magnitude that is usually not strong enough to cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 99% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact.

Roughly 17 million people exposed to shaking

An estimated 17 million have been exposed to shaking (An MMI or Modified Mercalli Intensity level II or higher) as a result of this earthquake according scientific estimates published by the USGS.

An estimated 7,650 people were exposed to level VII. At this level, very strong shaking and likely moderate damage can be expected. The majority of people (roughly 10 million) live in an area exposed to level III, where weak shaking and probably no damage is expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of The Philippines .

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
0
I
Not noticable None
2,810
II
Very weak None
10,260,000
III
Weak Probably none
6,183,000
IV
Light Likely none
302,700
V
Moderate Very light
54,520
VI
Strong Light
7,650
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in The Philippines . The closest significant population center near the earthquake is Maasin in Eastern Visayas, The Philippines. Maasin is located 37 kilometer (23 mi) east of the epicenter. Maasin experienced an earthquake intensity (MMI Scale) of roughly IV. That level implies light shaking and likely no damage.

Multiple large cities are in proximity of today's earthquake. Cebu City is located 143 km to the west and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage). Lapu-Lapu City is located 136 km to the west and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage). Mandaue City is located 139 km to the west and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage).

The table below provides an overview of all places in proximity of today's earthquake. Where available, the estimated intensity on the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale in each place is included. Places where this information is omitted likely experienced little impact.

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place Intensity (MMI)
37 km (23 mi)
W from epicenter
Maasin

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
51 km (32 mi)
SE from epicenter
Surigao

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
71 km (44 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Abuyog

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
74 km (46 mi)
NW from epicenter
Baybay

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
103 km (64 mi)
WSW from epicenter
Jagna

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
110 km (68 mi)
N from epicenter
Tanauan

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
116 km (72 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Ormoc

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
116 km (72 mi)
N from epicenter
Palo

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
119 km (74 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Cabadbaran

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
125 km (78 mi)
N from epicenter
Tacloban

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
126 km (78 mi)
N from epicenter
Panalanoy

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
131 km (81 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Buenavista

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
133 km (83 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Compostela

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
133 km (83 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Danao

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
133 km (83 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Liloan

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
136 km (85 mi)
W from epicenter
Lapu-Lapu City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
136 km (85 mi)
W from epicenter
Cordova

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
137 km (85 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Libertad

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
137 km (85 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Butuan

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
137 km (85 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Cogan

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
137 km (85 mi)
W from epicenter
Consolacion

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
139 km (86 mi)
W from epicenter
Mandaue City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
141 km (88 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Carigara

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
142 km (88 mi)
W from epicenter
Apas

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
143 km (89 mi)
W from epicenter
Cebu City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
144 km (89 mi)
S from epicenter
Mariano

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
IV
Light
146 km (91 mi)
W from epicenter
Talisay

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
152 km (94 mi)
W from epicenter
Minglanilla

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
155 km (96 mi)
WSW from epicenter
Tagbilaran City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
IV
Light
156 km (97 mi)
W from epicenter
Naga

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
161 km (100 mi)
W from epicenter
San Fernando

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
162 km (101 mi)
SE from epicenter
Tandag

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
166 km (103 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Bayugan

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
169 km (105 mi)
W from epicenter
Carcar

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
171 km (106 mi)
W from epicenter
Toledo

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
183 km (114 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Tagoloan

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
186 km (116 mi)
N from epicenter
Catbalogan

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
186 km (116 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Bugo

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
192 km (119 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Cagayan de Oro

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
200 km (124 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Escalante

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
225 km (140 mi)
WSW from epicenter
Dumaguete

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
226 km (140 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Iligan City

Soccsksargen, The Philippines.
226 km (140 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Cadiz

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
235 km (146 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Iligan

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
243 km (151 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Mantampay

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
247 km (153 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Mansilingan

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
251 km (156 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Bacolod City

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
253 km (157 mi)
SW from epicenter
Dapitan

Zamboanga Peninsula, The Philippines.
III
Weak
256 km (159 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Marawi City

Rehiyong Autonomo sa Muslim na Mindanao, The Philippines.
260 km (162 mi)
W from epicenter
Kabankalan

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
261 km (162 mi)
W from epicenter
Bago City

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
275 km (171 mi)
SSE from epicenter
Monkayo

Davao, The Philippines.
293 km (182 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Iloilo

Western Visayas, The Philippines.
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The maximum intensity (MMI Scale) caused by this earthquake is VII. The map below shows in which areas this earthquake was the most and least impactful. It is based on data from the US Geographic Survey.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

Shaking reported by 29 people

People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 29 people have reported shaking in 20 places, all within Philippines.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.

Places with most reports:

  • Cebu, Central Visayas, Philippines: 8 people.
  • Minglanilla, Central Visayas, Philippines: 3 people.
  • Loreto (Loreto, Surigao del Norte), Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Isabel, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Tabunok, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Santa Fe (Matalom, Leyte), Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Pawing, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • MacArthur, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Maasin, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Liloan (Liloan, Southern Leyte), Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.

2 Aftershocks detected

After this earthquake struck, 2 smaller aftershocks occurred. At a distance of 74 km (46 mi) north-east of this earthquake, an aftershock struck 19 hrs later. It measured a magnitude of 4.5

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Classification Magnitude When Where
Main Shock
This Earthquake
M 5.7 Jan 23, 2025 07:39AM
(Manila Time)
-
Aftershock M 3.1 1 hr later
Jan 23, 2025 09:01AM (Manila Time)
15 km (9 mi)
S from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.5 19 hrs later
Jan 24, 2025 02:51AM (Manila Time)
74 km (46 mi)
NE from Main Shock.
Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.

More earthquakes coming?

The risk of aftershocks decreases rapidly over time. Usually, aftershocks are at least one order of magnitude lower than a main shock.

The chance that a significant earthquake like this one is followed by an even larger earthquake is not so large. On average, scientists estimate a 94% chance that a major earthquake will not be followed by an even larger one. It is still adviced to be aware of this risk

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this happen often in the region

Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since August 3rd, 2024, when a 6.3 magnitude earthquake hit 281 km (175 mi) further south-east. An even stronger magnitude 7.6 earthquake struck on December 2nd, 2023.

In total, 32 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.7 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 4 months.

Tsunami very unlikely

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

While MAG-6.5+ earthquakes may cause tsunami's, it appears that the epicenter of this earthquake hit under land. In addition, the reported depth is deeper than 100km, making the risk of a tsunami even less likely. However always stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck on land near a coastal area (1 km from the sea). Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.7. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 9 km (6 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 24/01/25 04:38 (). As more information on this earthquake becomes available this article will be updated. This article is automatically composed based on data originating from multiple sources.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us6000plql
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20250122_0000274
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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