Written by on . Last updated October 4th, 2024.

In the North Pacific Ocean 109 kilometer from Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia, a significant Magnitude 5.9 earthquake occurred just after midnight of Tuesday October 1st, 2024. Shaking may have been felt by a total of 270 thousand people.

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Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the North Pacific Ocean, 25 kilometers (15 mi) off the coast of Russia, 109 kilometer east of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky in Kamchatka. The center of this earthquake had a quite shallow depth of 32 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.

Date and Time: Oct 1, 2024 00:21 (Kamchatka Time)
- Sep 30, 2024 12:21 Universal Time.
Location: 109 km east of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Kamchatka, Russia.
Coordinates 53°2'6"N 160°15'44"E.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.9
Detected by 56 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.041 .
Depth: 32 km (20 mi)
A quite shallow depth.
Max. Intensity:
V
Moderate

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Low tsunami risk
Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 do not usually cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 270 thousand people exposed to shaking

The USGS has published a report estimating the number of people exposed to this earthquake. Acoording to their analysis, roughly 270 thousand have been exposed to shaking at an MMI level of II or higher.

Moderate shaking and very light damage may have been experienced by an estimated 0 people. At V, it is the highest MMI level this earthquake has caused. Intensity level III was experienced by the majority of people (around 150 thousand). In their region, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of Russia .

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
0
I
Not noticable None
0
II
Very weak None
147,200
III
Weak Probably none
125,400
IV
Light Likely none
0
V
Moderate Very light
0
VI
Strong Light
0
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in Russia . Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky in Kamchatka, Russia is the nearest significant place from the epicenter. The earthquake occurred 109 kilometer (68 mi) east of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky. The intensity of shaking and damage in Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky is estimated to be around level IV on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (light shaking, likely no damage).

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place Intensity (MMI)
109 km (68 mi)
W from epicenter
Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky

Kamchatka, Russia.
IV
Light
125 km (78 mi)
W from epicenter
Vilyuchinsk

Kamchatka, Russia.
IV
Light
127 km (79 mi)
W from epicenter
Yelizovo

Kamchatka, Russia.
IV
Light
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The graph below overlays a map of the region around the epicenter with earthquake intensity data provided by the US Geographic Survey. The highest intensity level detected for this earthquake is V.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

4 Aftershocks detected

Since this main shock, 4 smaller aftershocks were detected. At a distance of 24 km (15 mi) south of this earthquake, an aftershock struck 22 hrs later. It measured a magnitude of 4.9

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Classification Magnitude When Where
Main Shock
This Earthquake
M 5.9 Oct 1, 2024 00:21
(Kamchatka Time)
-
Aftershock M 4.4 3 hrs later
Oct 1, 2024 03:19 (Kamchatka Time)
38 km (24 mi)
S from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.4 11 hrs later
Oct 1, 2024 11:38 (Kamchatka Time)
27 km (17 mi)
S from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.9 22 hrs later
Oct 1, 2024 22:11 (Kamchatka Time)
24 km (15 mi)
S from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 22 hrs later
Oct 1, 2024 22:38 (Kamchatka Time)
22 km (14 mi)
ESE from Main Shock.
Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.

More earthquakes coming?

Aftershocks are usually at least 1 order of magnitude less strong than main shocks. The more time passes, the smaller the chance and likely strength of any potential aftershocks.

The chance that a significant earthquake like this one is followed by an even larger earthquake is not so large. On average, scientists estimate a 94% chance that a major earthquake will not be followed by an even larger one. It is still adviced to be aware of this risk

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this are common in the region

Earthquakes of this strength occur quite regularly in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since August 30th, 2024, when a 6 magnitude earthquake hit 9 km (5 mi) further east-southeast. An even stronger magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck on January 30th, 2016.

In total, 8 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.9 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every year.

Low tsunami risk

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

Based on early data it appears this earthquake was not strong enough (lower than MAG-6.5) to be likely to cause destructive tsunami's. However this earthquake appeared to have hit at a shallow depth under sea, so stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea. Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.9. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 32 km (20 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 04/10/24 12:18 (). This article is automatically generated based on available data. We keep checking multiple sources for additional information. This article gets updated as new details on this earthquake become available.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us7000nh82
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20240930_0000099
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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