In the night of Monday February 12th, 2024, a shallow Magnitude 4.8 earthquake hit under land 2 miles from El Centro in The United States. The USGS has indicated there is a potential risk at tsunami's following this earthquake. Another country near the epicenter is Mexico.
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Earthquake Summary
The earthquake struck on land in The United States, 2 miles (3 km) north-northwest of El Centro in California. The center of this earthquake had a very shallow depth of 11 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.
Date and Time: | Feb 12, 2024 12:36AM (Los Angeles Time) - Feb 12, 2024 08:36 Universal Time. |
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Location: | 2 mi NNW of El Centro, California, The United States. Coordinates 32°48'49"N 115°34'25"W. |
Map: | Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps. |
Magnitude: | MAG 4.8 Detected by 99 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.2 . |
Depth: | 11 mi (18 km) A very shallow depth. |
Max. Intensity: | VI
Strong On the Modified Mercalli Scale. |
Tsunami Risk: | Potential tsunami risk The USGS has indicated there is a potential risk at tsunami's following this earthquake. Always stay cautious - More info here. |
Potential tsunami risk
There is a potential tsunami risk in the aftermath of this earthquake, immediately evacuate to higher grounds away from coastal areas and monitor advice from local authorities. The US Geographic Survey organization has indicated a potential risk for tsunami's following this earthquake.
Tsunami Risk Factors
Factor | Under Sea? | MAG-6.5 or stronger? | Shallow depth? |
---|---|---|---|
Explanation | Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. | Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami. MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes. MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's. |
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor. |
This Earthquake | Not this earthquake. This earthquake appears to have struck on land far from any coast. |
Not this earthquake. This earthquake had a magnitude of 4.8. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami. |
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 11 mi (18 km). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami. |
Minimal impact predicted
Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.
The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 99% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact.
Roughly 13 million people exposed to shaking
An estimated 13 million have been exposed to shaking (An MMI or Modified Mercalli Intensity level II or higher) as a result of this earthquake according scientific estimates published by the USGS.
Strong shaking and probably light damage may have been experienced by an estimated 17,280 people. At VI, it is the highest MMI level this earthquake has caused. The majority of people (roughly 8 million) live in an area exposed to level II, where very weak shaking and no damage is expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of Mexico .
People | MMI Level | Shaking | Damage |
---|---|---|---|
23,490 | I |
Not noticable | None |
7,670,000 | II |
Very weak | None |
3,799,000 | III |
Weak | Probably none |
931,300 | IV |
Light | Likely none |
164,700 | V |
Moderate | Very light |
17,280 | VI |
Strong | Light |
0 | VII |
Very Strong | Moderate |
0 | VIII |
Severe | Moderate to heavy |
0 | IX |
Violent | Heavy |
0 | X |
Extreme | Very heavy |
Nearby towns and cities
2 countries can be found within 300km of the epicenter of this earthquake: The United States and Mexico .
El Centro in California, The United States is the nearest significant place from the epicenter. The earthquake occurred 2 miles (3 km) north-northwest of El Centro. The intensity of shaking and damage in El Centro is estimated to be around level V on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (moderate shaking, very light damage).
Major cities near this earthquake: Mexicali is located 23 km to the south-southeast and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage). Los Angeles is located 176 mi to the west-northwest (intensity unknown, possibly low). Tijuana is located 138 km to the west-southwest and experienced an intensity of II (very weak shaking, no damage).
A complete list of nearby places is included below. Estimated intensity data (MMI) sourced from a shake-map published by the US Geographic Survey is shown where available (cities without data probably experienced little impact).
Overview of nearby places
Distance | Place | Intensity (MMI) |
---|---|---|
2 mi (3 km) SSE from epicenter |
El Centro California, The United States. |
V
Moderate |
2 mi (4 km) N from epicenter |
Imperial California, The United States. |
VI
Strong |
11 mi (17 km) SSE from epicenter |
Calexico California, The United States. |
V
Moderate |
12 mi (19 km) NNE from epicenter |
Brawley California, The United States. |
V
Moderate |
20 km (12 mi) S from epicenter |
Santa Isabel Baja California, Mexico. |
V
Moderate |
23 km (14 mi) SSE from epicenter |
Mexicali Baja California, Mexico. |
IV
Light |
34 km (21 mi) SE from epicenter |
Puebla Baja California, Mexico. |
IV
Light |
73 km (45 mi) SE from epicenter |
Guadalupe Victoria Baja California, Mexico. |
III
Weak |
52 mi (83 km) ESE from epicenter |
San Luis Arizona, The United States. |
III
Weak |
52 mi (84 km) ESE from epicenter |
Somerton Arizona, The United States. |
III
Weak |
85 km (53 mi) ESE from epicenter |
San Luis Río Colorado Sonora, Mexico. |
III
Weak |
55 mi (89 km) E from epicenter |
Yuma Arizona, The United States. |
III
Weak |
102 km (63 mi) WSW from epicenter |
Tecate Baja California, Mexico. |
III
Weak |
68 mi (110 km) E from epicenter |
Fortuna Foothills Arizona, The United States. |
III
Weak |
69 mi (111 km) NNW from epicenter |
Coachella California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
73 mi (117 km) NNW from epicenter |
Indio California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
73 mi (117 km) NW from epicenter |
La Quinta California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
78 mi (126 km) NW from epicenter |
Palm Desert California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
81 mi (130 km) W from epicenter |
El Cajon California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
81 mi (131 km) W from epicenter |
Santee California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
85 mi (136 km) NW from epicenter |
Cathedral City California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
85 mi (136 km) W from epicenter |
La Mesa California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
138 km (86 mi) WSW from epicenter |
Tijuana Baja California, Mexico. |
II
Weak |
86 mi (138 km) W from epicenter |
Poway California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
142 km (88 mi) SW from epicenter |
Ensenada Baja California, Mexico. |
II
Weak |
89 mi (143 km) W from epicenter |
Chula Vista California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
89 mi (143 km) W from epicenter |
National City California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
90 mi (145 km) NW from epicenter |
Palm Springs California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
90 mi (145 km) W from epicenter |
Rancho Penasquitos California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
90 mi (145 km) WNW from epicenter |
Escondido California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
91 mi (147 km) W from epicenter |
Mira Mesa California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
147 km (91 mi) WSW from epicenter |
Rosarito Baja California, Mexico. |
II
Weak |
93 mi (149 km) W from epicenter |
San Diego California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
95 mi (153 km) WNW from epicenter |
San Marcos California, The United States. |
III
Weak |
100 mi (161 km) WNW from epicenter |
Vista California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
101 mi (162 km) W from epicenter |
Encinitas California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
103 mi (165 km) WNW from epicenter |
Temecula California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
103 mi (166 km) NW from epicenter |
Hemet California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
106 mi (170 km) WNW from epicenter |
Carlsbad California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
107 mi (173 km) WNW from epicenter |
Murrieta California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
108 mi (174 km) WNW from epicenter |
Oceanside California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
111 mi (178 km) NW from epicenter |
Menifee California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
117 mi (188 km) NW from epicenter |
Perris California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
123 mi (198 km) NW from epicenter |
Moreno Valley California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
131 mi (211 km) NW from epicenter |
Riverside California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
134 mi (215 km) NW from epicenter |
San Bernardino California, The United States. |
II
Weak |
143 mi (230 km) WNW from epicenter |
Irvine California, The United States. |
|
147 mi (237 km) WNW from epicenter |
Santa Ana California, The United States. |
|
152 mi (245 km) WNW from epicenter |
Anaheim California, The United States. |
|
165 mi (265 km) WNW from epicenter |
Long Beach California, The United States. |
|
176 mi (283 km) WNW from epicenter |
Los Angeles California, The United States. |
Earthquake Intensity Map
The intensity in shaking and damage by this earthquake is illustrated through the map below. The highest intensity measured for this earthquake is VI.
Shaking reported by 56 people
People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 56 people have reported shaking in 6 places, all within Mexico.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.
Places with most reports:
- Mexicali, Baja California, Mexico: 37 people.
- Puebla, Baja California, Mexico: 9 people.
- Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico: 7 people.
- Progreso, Baja California, Mexico: 1 person.
- Rosarito, Baja California, Mexico: 1 person.
- San Luis Río Colorado, Sonora, Mexico: 1 person.
30 Aftershocks detected
After this earthquake struck, 30 smaller aftershocks occurred. Just 6 mins after this main shock, an earthquake measuring MAG-4.6 was detected 1.1 mi (1.7 km) south-southeast of this earthquake.
This main shock was prefaced by 3 smaller foreshocks. A 3.2 magnitude earthquake hit 2 days earlier nearby.
Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks
Classification | Magnitude | When | Where |
---|---|---|---|
Foreshock | M 3.2 |
2 days earlier Feb 10, 2024 01:49AM (Los Angeles Time) | 52 mi (84 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Foreshock | M 2.8 |
1 day earlier Feb 10, 2024 05:10PM (Los Angeles Time) | 17 mi (27 km) N from Main Shock. |
Foreshock | M 2.9 |
1 day earlier Feb 10, 2024 05:11PM (Los Angeles Time) | 17 mi (28 km) N from Main Shock. |
Main Shock This Earthquake |
M 4.8 |
Feb 12, 2024 12:36AM (Los Angeles Time) | - |
Aftershock | M 3.6 |
1 min later Feb 12, 2024 12:37AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.7 mi (1.1 km) SE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.5 |
2 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:38AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.9 mi (1.4 km) WNW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.6 |
2 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:38AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.5 mi (0.8 km) SW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 4.1 |
2 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:38AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.8 mi (1.3 km) WNW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.3 |
3 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:39AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.7 mi (2.7 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.9 |
4 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:40AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.7 mi (2.7 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.9 |
5 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:41AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.3 mi (0.5 km) NW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 4.6 |
6 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:42AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.1 mi (1.7 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.4 |
7 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:43AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.1 mi (3 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.5 |
9 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:45AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.3 mi (2.1 km) SE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.5 |
9 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:45AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2 mi (3 km) NNW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.9 |
23 mins later Feb 12, 2024 12:59AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.5 mi (2.4 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.7 |
25 mins later Feb 12, 2024 01:01AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.6 mi (2.6 km) N from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.8 |
54 mins later Feb 12, 2024 01:30AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.9 mi (1.5 km) S from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.7 |
2 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 02:18AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.2 mi (4 km) SE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.7 |
2 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 02:18AM (Los Angeles Time) | 3 mi (5 km) SE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
2 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 02:25AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.9 mi (1.5 km) WNW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.8 |
3 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 03:33AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.3 mi (0.5 km) S from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.3 |
5 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:04AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.4 mi (4 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
5 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:04AM (Los Angeles Time) | 1.9 mi (3 km) SE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 3.5 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:15AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.4 mi (4 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.5 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:30AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.8 mi (5 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:34AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.7 mi (4 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.8 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:42AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.4 mi (0.6 km) SW from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 06:46AM (Los Angeles Time) | 3 mi (5 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
6 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 07:03AM (Los Angeles Time) | 0.4 mi (0.6 km) W from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
9 hrs later Feb 12, 2024 09:36AM (Los Angeles Time) | 2.5 mi (4 km) SSE from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.5 |
2 days later Feb 13, 2024 11:49PM (Los Angeles Time) | 22 mi (35 km) N from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 4.0 |
2 days later Feb 13, 2024 11:53PM (Los Angeles Time) | 22 mi (35 km) N from Main Shock. |
Aftershock | M 2.6 |
2 days later Feb 13, 2024 11:56PM (Los Angeles Time) | 22 mi (36 km) N from Main Shock. |
More earthquakes coming?
Earthquakes can create aftershocks. These are generally at least 1 magnitude lower than any main shock, and as time passes the chance and strength of aftershocks decreases.
It's always adviced to be cautious of the risk of a larger shock following any significant earthquake, however this risk is fairly small. There is a roughly 94 percent change that no larger main shock will follow in the days following this earthquake.
Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).Earthquakes like this happen often in the region
Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since December 1st, 2023, when a 4.8 magnitude earthquake hit 18 mi (29 km) further west-southwest. An even stronger magnitude 6.2 earthquake struck on November 22nd, 2022.
In total, 18 earthquakes with a magnitude of 4.8 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 7 months.
Sources
Last updated 12/04/24 07:48 (). As more information on this earthquake becomes available this article will be updated. This article is automatically composed based on data originating from multiple sources.