Written by on . Last updated January 24th, 2025.

A significant Magnitude 5.5 earthquake struck in the Philippine Sea 95 kilometer from Butuan, The Philippines in the night of Saturday December 28th, 2024. Roughly 10 million people may have felt this earthquake.

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Earthquake Summary

This earthquake hit under water in the Philippine Sea, right off the coast of The Philippines (12 mi offshore), 95 kilometer north-east of Butuan in Caraga. The center of this earthquake had an intermediate depth of 81 km.

Date and Time: Dec 28, 2024 02:43AM (Manila Time)
- Dec 27, 2024 18:43 Universal Time.
Location: 95 km NE of Butuan, Caraga, The Philippines.
Coordinates 9°33'24"N 126°8'53"E.
Map: Map of area around epicenter.
Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps.
Magnitude: MAG 5.5
Detected by 27 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.06 .
Depth: 81 km (51 mi)
An intermediate depth.
Max. Intensity:
V
Moderate

On the Modified Mercalli Scale.
Tsunami Risk: Low tsunami risk
Earthquakes under MAG-6.5 do not usually cause tsunami's.
Always stay cautious - More info here.

Minimal impact predicted

Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.

The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.

Roughly 10 million people exposed to shaking

An estimated 10 million have been exposed to shaking (An MMI or Modified Mercalli Intensity level II or higher) as a result of this earthquake according scientific estimates published by the USGS.

The highest earthquake impact level for this earthquake is IV, which corresponds with light shaking and likely no damage. Roughly 2,179,000 people are expected to be exposed to this level. Intensity level III was experienced by the majority of people (around 7.3 million). In their region, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected. All exposure to shaking was within the borders of The Philippines .

People MMI Level Shaking Damage
0
I
Not noticable None
416,400
II
Very weak None
7,349,000
III
Weak Probably none
2,179,000
IV
Light Likely none
0
V
Moderate Very light
0
VI
Strong Light
0
VII
Very Strong Moderate
0
VIII
Severe Moderate to heavy
0
IX
Violent Heavy
0
X
Extreme Very heavy

Nearby towns and cities

This earthquake may have been felt in The Philippines . The closest significant population center near the earthquake is Tandag in Caraga, The Philippines. Tandag is located 53 kilometer (33 mi) north of the epicenter. The intensity of shaking and damage in Tandag is estimated to be around level IV on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (light shaking, likely no damage).

Multiple large cities are in proximity of today's earthquake. Davao is located 282 km to the south-southwest (intensity unknown, possibly low). Butuan is located 95 km to the southwest and experienced an intensity of IV (light shaking, likely no damage). Cebu City is located 261 km to the west-northwest (intensity unknown, possibly low).

A complete list of nearby places is included below. Estimated intensity data (MMI) sourced from a shake-map published by the US Geographic Survey is shown where available (cities without data probably experienced little impact).

Overview of nearby places

Distance Place Intensity (MMI)
53 km (33 mi)
S from epicenter
Tandag

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
76 km (47 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Surigao

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
83 km (52 mi)
SW from epicenter
Cabadbaran

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
95 km (59 mi)
SW from epicenter
Butuan

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
98 km (61 mi)
SW from epicenter
Libertad

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
98 km (61 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Bayugan

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
104 km (65 mi)
SW from epicenter
Buenavista

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
109 km (68 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Bah-Bah

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
116 km (72 mi)
S from epicenter
San Francisco

Caraga, The Philippines.
IV
Light
129 km (80 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Talacogon

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
139 km (86 mi)
SW from epicenter
Mariano

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
IV
Light
150 km (93 mi)
S from epicenter
Bislig

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
155 km (96 mi)
S from epicenter
Bunawan

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
157 km (98 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Maasin

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
166 km (103 mi)
S from epicenter
Veruela

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
168 km (104 mi)
S from epicenter
Trento

Caraga, The Philippines.
III
Weak
182 km (113 mi)
NW from epicenter
Abuyog

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
183 km (114 mi)
SW from epicenter
Jasaan

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
190 km (118 mi)
SW from epicenter
Tagoloan

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
192 km (119 mi)
SW from epicenter
Bugo

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
192 km (119 mi)
SW from epicenter
Malaybalay

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
193 km (120 mi)
NW from epicenter
Baybay

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
193 km (120 mi)
SW from epicenter
Manolo Fortich

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
194 km (121 mi)
S from epicenter
Monkayo

Davao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
195 km (121 mi)
W from epicenter
Jagna

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
204 km (127 mi)
SW from epicenter
Cagayan de Oro

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
210 km (130 mi)
S from epicenter
Compostela

Davao, The Philippines.
217 km (135 mi)
SSW from epicenter
NIA Valencia

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
III
Weak
225 km (140 mi)
NW from epicenter
Tacloban

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
226 km (140 mi)
NW from epicenter
Panalanoy

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
233 km (145 mi)
NW from epicenter
Ormoc

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
III
Weak
238 km (148 mi)
S from epicenter
Magugpo Poblacion

Davao, The Philippines.
241 km (150 mi)
SW from epicenter
Iligan City

Soccsksargen, The Philippines.
III
Weak
252 km (157 mi)
W from epicenter
Tagbilaran City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
253 km (157 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Liloan

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
255 km (158 mi)
S from epicenter
Panabo

Davao, The Philippines.
255 km (158 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Lapu-Lapu City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
256 km (159 mi)
SW from epicenter
Iligan

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
256 km (159 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Danao

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
258 km (160 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Mandaue City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
260 km (162 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Cogan

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
261 km (162 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Cebu City

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
263 km (163 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Talisay

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
263 km (163 mi)
SW from epicenter
Mantampay

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
268 km (167 mi)
SW from epicenter
Marawi City

Rehiyong Autonomo sa Muslim na Mindanao, The Philippines.
269 km (167 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Minglanilla

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
282 km (175 mi)
SSW from epicenter
Davao

Davao, The Philippines.
283 km (176 mi)
NNW from epicenter
Catbalogan

Eastern Visayas, The Philippines.
289 km (180 mi)
S from epicenter
Mati

Davao, The Philippines.
290 km (180 mi)
WNW from epicenter
Toledo

Central Visayas, The Philippines.
298 km (185 mi)
WSW from epicenter
Ozamiz City

Northern Mindanao, The Philippines.
Cities and Towns around the epicenter of this earthquake.

Earthquake Intensity Map

The graph below overlays a map of the region around the epicenter with earthquake intensity data provided by the US Geographic Survey. The highest intensity level detected for this earthquake is IV.

I Not felt
II Weak
III Weak
IV Light
V Moderate
VI Strong
VII Very Strong
VIII Severe
IX Violent
X Extreme
Earthquake Intensity Map based on Shakemap Data provided by USGS.

Shaking reported by 19 people

People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 19 people have reported shaking in 11 places, all within Philippines.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.

Places with most reports:

  • Purok, Caraga, Philippines: 7 people.
  • Butuan, Caraga, Philippines: 3 people.
  • Cabadbaran, Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Luna, Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Maygatasan, Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Pilar, Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Union, Caraga, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Marawi, Central Mindanao, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Cebu, Central Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.
  • Baras, Eastern Visayas, Philippines: 1 person.

2 Aftershocks detected

Since this main shock, 2 smaller aftershocks were detected. Just 3 days after this main shock, an earthquake measuring MAG-4 was detected 64 km (39 mi) northwest of this earthquake.

Before this earthquake struck, 2 smaller foreshocks occurred. A 3.2 magnitude earthquake hit 1 day earlier nearby.

Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks

Classification Magnitude When Where
Foreshock M 3.2 3 days earlier
Dec 25, 2024 11:12AM (Manila Time)
78 km (48 mi)
SE from Main Shock.
Foreshock M 3.2 1 day earlier
Dec 26, 2024 04:53PM (Manila Time)
66 km (41 mi)
NNE from Main Shock.
Main Shock
This Earthquake
M 5.5 Dec 28, 2024 02:43AM
(Manila Time)
-
Aftershock M 3.6 8 hrs later
Dec 28, 2024 10:38AM (Manila Time)
85 km (53 mi)
NNW from Main Shock.
Aftershock M 4.0 3 days later
Dec 30, 2024 06:07PM (Manila Time)
64 km (39 mi)
NW from Main Shock.
Detected MAG2.5+ earthquakes within within 100km (62 mi), that occurred in the three days before and after the main shock.

More earthquakes coming?

Earthquakes can create aftershocks. These are generally at least 1 magnitude lower than any main shock, and as time passes the chance and strength of aftershocks decreases.

It's always adviced to be cautious of the risk of a larger shock following any significant earthquake, however this risk is fairly small. There is a roughly 94 percent change that no larger main shock will follow in the days following this earthquake.

Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).

Earthquakes like this happen often in the region

Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since August 3rd, 2024, when a 6.3 magnitude earthquake hit 168 km (105 mi) further south-southeast. An even stronger magnitude 7.6 earthquake struck on December 2nd, 2023.

In total, 63 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 2 months.

Low tsunami risk

DISCLAIMER: We strongly suggest to closely monitor advice from local authorities with regards to tsunami risks. Our analysis is based on automatically collected data from external sources, and these might contain mistakes. In addition, earthquakes can cause landslides that may lead to a tsunami, or be a followed by another, potentially stonger, earthquake.

Based on early data it appears this earthquake was not strong enough (lower than MAG-6.5) to be likely to cause destructive tsunami's. However this earthquake appeared to have hit at a shallow depth under sea, so stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.

Tsunami Risk Factors

Factor Under Sea? MAG-6.5 or stronger? Shallow depth?
Explanation Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami.
MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes.
MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's.
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor.
This Earthquake This earthquake appears to have struck under the sea. Not this earthquake.
This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.5. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami.
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 81 km (51 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami.

Sources

Last updated 24/01/25 22:08 (). This article contains currently available information about the earthquake and is automatically composed. We continue to update this article up to a few days after the earthquake occurred.

  1. US Geographic Society (USGS): Earthquake us6000pfz1
  2. European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC): Earthquake 20241227_0000240
  3. Geonames.org: World Cities Database
  4. Google Maps: Static API
  5. Earthquakelist.org: Historic Earthquakes Database

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