In the afternoon of Saturday November 23rd, 2024, a shallow and significant M5.4 earthquake hit under land 162 kilometer from Osh in Kyrgyzstan. Roughly 15 million people may have felt this earthquake. Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Afghanistan are also near its epicenter.
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Earthquake Summary
The earthquake struck on land in Kyrgyzstan, 162 kilometer (101 mi) south-southwest of Osh. The center of this earthquake had a very shallow depth of 10 km. Shallow earthquakes usually have a larger impact than earthquakes deep in the earth.
Date and Time: | Nov 23, 2024 14:33 (Bishkek Time) - Nov 23, 2024 08:33 Universal Time. |
---|---|
Location: | 190 km south of Namangan, Uzbekistan. Coordinates 39°17'44"N 71°47'27"E. |
Map: | Map of area around epicenter. Click to open in Google Maps. |
Magnitude: | MAG 5.4 Detected by 296 stations. Maximum Error Range ±0.034 . |
Depth: | 10 km (6 mi) A very shallow depth. |
Max. Intensity: | VI
Strong On the Modified Mercalli Scale. |
Tsunami Risk: | Tsunami very unlikely While this was a shallow earthquake, it appears to have occurred under land with a magnitude not strong enough to cause tsunami's. Always stay cautious - More info here. |
Minimal impact predicted
Based on scientific estimates by the US Geographic Survey (USGS), the risk of high fatalities for this earthquake is classified at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 fatalities, and a 96% chance that the number of fatalities falls no higher than 10.
The USGS classifies the economic impact of this earthquake at level GREEN (low). They expect an 65% likelyhood of between 0 and 1 million US Dollars in economic damage and impact, and a 96% chance that the economic impact of this earthquake falls no higher than 10 million USD.
Roughly 15 million people exposed to shaking
An estimated 15 million have been exposed to shaking (An MMI or Modified Mercalli Intensity level II or higher) as a result of this earthquake according scientific estimates published by the USGS.
An estimated 630 people were exposed to level V. At this level, moderate shaking and very light damage can be expected. Intensity level III was experienced by the majority of people (around 13 million). In their region, weak shaking and probably no damage can be expected.
People in 5 countries have been exposed to shaking. In Tajikistan , around 2.8 million people, with impact levels up to V (moderate shaking, very light damage). Roughly 2.7 million people were exposed to shaking in Kyrgyzstan . In Uzbekistan , around 9 million people. A smaller number of people were exposed in the following countries: Afghanistan and China.
People | MMI Level | Shaking | Damage |
---|---|---|---|
10 | I |
Not noticable | None |
1,430,000 | II |
Very weak | None |
13,270,000 | III |
Weak | Probably none |
85,020 | IV |
Light | Likely none |
630 | V |
Moderate | Very light |
0 | VI |
Strong | Light |
0 | VII |
Very Strong | Moderate |
0 | VIII |
Severe | Moderate to heavy |
0 | IX |
Violent | Heavy |
0 | X |
Extreme | Very heavy |
Nearby towns and cities
4 countries can be found within 300km of the epicenter of this earthquake: Kyrgyzstan , Uzbekistan , Tajikistan and Afghanistan .
The closest significant population center near the earthquake is Iradan in Batken, Kyrgyzstan. Iradan is located 111 kilometer (69 mi) south-southwest of the epicenter. The intensity of shaking and damage in Iradan is estimated to be around level III on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale (weak shaking, probably no damage).
Major cities near this earthquake: Dushanbe is located 274 km to the west-southwest (intensity unknown, possibly low). Namangan is located 190 km to the north and experienced an intensity of III (weak shaking, probably no damage). Andijon is located 172 km to the north-northeast and experienced an intensity of III (weak shaking, probably no damage).
A complete list of nearby places is included below. Estimated intensity data (MMI) sourced from a shake-map published by the US Geographic Survey is shown where available (cities without data probably experienced little impact).
Overview of nearby places
Distance | Place | Intensity (MMI) |
---|---|---|
111 km (69 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Iradan Batken, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
111 km (69 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Kyzyl-Kyya Batken, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
113 km (70 mi) N from epicenter |
Quvasoy Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
121 km (75 mi) N from epicenter |
Fergana Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
125 km (78 mi) NNW from epicenter |
Oltiariq Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
127 km (79 mi) N from epicenter |
Kirguli Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
131 km (81 mi) N from epicenter |
Marg‘ilon Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
131 km (81 mi) N from epicenter |
Toshloq Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
136 km (85 mi) NW from epicenter |
Isfara Sughd, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
138 km (86 mi) N from epicenter |
Quva Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
146 km (91 mi) NW from epicenter |
Yaypan Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
154 km (96 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Asaka Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
155 km (96 mi) NNW from epicenter |
Qo‘qon Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
161 km (100 mi) NW from epicenter |
Konibodom Sughd, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
162 km (101 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Osh Osh, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
162 km (101 mi) NW from epicenter |
Beshariq Fergana, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
166 km (103 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Xo‘jaobod Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
172 km (107 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Andijon Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
180 km (112 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Qo‘rg‘ontepa Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
181 km (112 mi) N from epicenter |
Toshbuloq Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
181 km (112 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Kara Suu Osh, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
182 km (113 mi) N from epicenter |
Haqqulobod Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
185 km (115 mi) NNW from epicenter |
Pop Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
188 km (117 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Oyim Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
190 km (118 mi) N from epicenter |
Namangan Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
191 km (119 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Dardoq Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
191 km (119 mi) N from epicenter |
To‘rqao‘rg‘on Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
192 km (119 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Sultonobod Andijon, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
196 km (122 mi) NNW from epicenter |
Chust Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
197 km (122 mi) N from epicenter |
Chortoq Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
199 km (124 mi) N from epicenter |
Uychi Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
202 km (126 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Qayroqqum Sughd, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
202 km (126 mi) S from epicenter |
Khorugh Gorno-Badakhshan, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
204 km (127 mi) N from epicenter |
Uchqŭrghon Shahri Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
|
207 km (129 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Buston Sughd, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
208 km (129 mi) NE from epicenter |
Uzgen Osh, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
209 km (130 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Jalal-Abad Jalal-Abad, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
210 km (130 mi) NNE from epicenter |
Bazar-Korgon Jalal-Abad, Kyrgyzstan. |
III
Weak |
211 km (131 mi) N from epicenter |
Yangiqo‘rg‘on Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
|
215 km (134 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Khujand Sughd, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
218 km (135 mi) N from epicenter |
Kosonsoy Namangan, Uzbekistan. |
|
232 km (144 mi) SW from epicenter |
Kŭlob Khatlon, Tajikistan. |
III
Weak |
237 km (147 mi) NW from epicenter |
Angren Toshkent, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
239 km (149 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Bekobod Toshkent, Uzbekistan. |
|
249 km (155 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Istaravshan Sughd, Tajikistan. |
|
254 km (158 mi) NW from epicenter |
Olmaliq Toshkent, Uzbekistan. |
II
Weak |
254 km (158 mi) WSW from epicenter |
Vahdat Republican Subordination, Tajikistan. |
|
256 km (159 mi) NW from epicenter |
Ohangaron Toshkent, Uzbekistan. |
III
Weak |
264 km (164 mi) SSW from epicenter |
Fayzabad Badakhshan, Afghanistan. |
|
274 km (170 mi) WSW from epicenter |
Dushanbe Dushanbe, Tajikistan. |
|
289 km (180 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Guliston Sirdaryo Region, Uzbekistan. |
|
296 km (184 mi) SW from epicenter |
Rustāq Takhar, Afghanistan. |
|
300 km (186 mi) WNW from epicenter |
Zomin Shaharchasi Jizzax viloyati, Uzbekistan. |
Earthquake Intensity Map
The graph below overlays a map of the region around the epicenter with earthquake intensity data provided by the US Geographic Survey. The highest intensity level detected for this earthquake is VI.
Shaking reported by 1 person
People that feel an earthquake may report their experience to the US Geographic Survey. Currently, 1 person has reported shaking in one place in Tajikistan.We keep updating this article as more ground reports become available. You may report that you felt this earthquake here.
Places with most reports:
- Karakendzha, Karotegin, Tajikistan: 1 person.
Aftershocks detected
Before this earthquake struck, 1 smaller foreshock occurred. Nearby this earthquake a foreshock struck 1 day earlier. It measured a magnitude of 4
Overview of foreshocks and aftershocks
Classification | Magnitude | When | Where |
---|---|---|---|
Foreshock | M 4.0 |
1 day earlier Nov 22, 2024 13:16 (Bishkek Time) | 53 km (33 mi) E from Main Shock. |
Main Shock This Earthquake |
M 5.4 |
Nov 23, 2024 14:33 (Bishkek Time) | - |
More earthquakes coming?
Earthquakes can create aftershocks. These are generally at least 1 magnitude lower than any main shock, and as time passes the chance and strength of aftershocks decreases.
In only six percent of cases, significant earthquakes are followed by a larger main shock, making the current earthquake a foreshock. While the chance of this happening is not so large, it is adviced to maintain cautiousness in the hours and days following a major earthquake.
Read: How to Stay Safe during an Earthquake (cdc.gov).Earthquakes like this happen often in the region
Earthquakes of this strength are very common in the region. This is the strongest earthquake to hit since March 22nd, 2023, when a 5.8 magnitude earthquake hit 163 km (102 mi) further west. An even stronger magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck on December 7th, 2015.
In total, 21 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.4 or higher have been registered within 300km (186 mi) of this epicenter in the past 10 years. This comes down to an average of once every 6 months.
Tsunami very unlikely
While MAG-6.5+ earthquakes may cause tsunami's, it appears that the epicenter of this earthquake hit under land. In addition, the reported depth is deeper than 100km, making the risk of a tsunami even less likely. However always stay cautious and monitor advice from local authorities.
Tsunami Risk Factors
Factor | Under Sea? | MAG-6.5 or stronger? | Shallow depth? |
---|---|---|---|
Explanation | Almost all tsunami's are caused by earthquakes with their epicenter under sea or very near the sea. However stay cautious in coastal areas as earthquakes on land may cause landslides into sea, potentially still causing a local tsunami. | Under MAG 6.5: Very unlikely to cause a tsunami. MAG 6.5 to 7.5: Destructive tsunami's do occur, but are uncommon. Likely to observe small sea level changes. MAG 7.6+: Earthquakes with these magnitudes might produce destructive tsunami's. |
Most destructive tsunami's are caused by shallow earthquakes with a depth between 0 and 100km under the surface of the earth. Deeper tsunami's are unlikely to displace to ocean floor. |
This Earthquake | Not this earthquake. This earthquake appears to have struck on land far from any coast. |
Not this earthquake. This earthquake had a magnitude of 5.4. Earthquakes of this strength are unlikely to trigger a tsunami. |
This earthquake occurred at a depth of of 10 km (6 mi). Earthquakes this shallow could trigger a tsunami. |
Sources
Last updated 03/12/24 00:58 (). As more information on this earthquake becomes available this article will be updated. This article is automatically composed based on data originating from multiple sources.